Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.04K | $0.500 | $1.54K | +$526.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.017 | $18.74 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.04K |
| $0.500 |
| $491.65 |
| -$526.25 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 197.69 | $0.800 | $175.94 | +$17.79 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 6.01K | $0.036 | $120.15 | -$97.28 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 1.11K | $0.024 | $17.14 | -$9.28 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 83 | $0.160 | $13.7 | +$0.42 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 207.96 | $0.018 | $11.33 | +$7.48 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 69 | $0.508 | $3.42 | -$31.64 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 769.13 | $0.044 | $2.69 | -$31.15 |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 77.4 | $0.054 | $0.7 | -$3.49 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.720 |
| $28.8 |
| 8d ago |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 619 | $0.900 | $557.1 | 8d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 29 | $0.880 | $25.52 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 32 | $0.940 | $30.08 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 704.07 | $0.810 | $570.3 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 123.29 | $0.450 | $55.48 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 72 | $0.930 | $66.96 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 89 | $0.930 | $82.77 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 116.02 | $0.820 | $95.14 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 3.55K | $0.002 | $7.1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 124 | $0.910 | $112.84 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 182 | $0.950 | $172.9 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 229.9 | $0.930 | $213.81 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 274 | $0.940 | $257.56 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 377 | $0.940 | $354.38 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.73K | $0.075 | $355.47 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.15K | $0.083 | $178.49 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 826.99 | $0.810 | $669.86 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 944 | $0.830 | $783.52 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 2.92K | $0.011 | $30.78 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 3.72K | $0.038 | $141.7 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.106 | $212.16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 31 | $0.940 | $29.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 556 | $0.069 | $38.23 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 63 | $0.850 | $53.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 142 | $0.800 | $113.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 858 | $0.870 | $746.46 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?No | sell | 226 | $0.890 | $201.14 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 596 | $0.350 | $208.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 517 | $0.930 | $480.81 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 649 | $0.896 | $581.61 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 634 | $0.920 | $583.28 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 814 | $0.910 | $740.74 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.028 | $1.93 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 207.96 | $0.019 | $3.85 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | buy | 20.62K | $0.020 | $404.79 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 456 | $0.080 | $36.48 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.77K | $0.055 | $151.35 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 233.13 | $0.836 | $194.88 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 804 | $0.930 | $747.72 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 430 | $0.908 | $390.61 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 480 | $0.800 | $384 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.29K | $0.065 | $343.08 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.160 | $13.28 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 116.02 | $0.780 | $90.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 324.69 | $0.037 | $12.11 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes | sell | 9.95K | $0.018 | $180.88 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 3.81K | $0.020 | $76.33 | Jun 28, 2026 |