Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 466.45 | $0.722 | $342.84 | +$6.26 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 227.54 |
| $0.722 |
| $169.51 |
| +$5.17 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 160.24 | $0.529 | $85.73 | +$0.95 |
 Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $70 | +$20 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 46.4 | $0.925 | $42.94 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 73.25 | $0.530 | $39.19 | +$0.37 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 19.94 | $0.600 | $12.46 | +$0.5 |
| Will one person dissent the September Fed decision? | No | 7.91 | $0.830 | $6.84 | +$0.28 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.480 | $4.75 | -$0.05 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 61.4 | $0.052 | $4.3 | +$1.08 |
| Will three people dissent the September Fed decision? | Yes | 5 | $0.300 | $1.53 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 0.48 | $0.456 | $0.22 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.4 |
| 2d ago |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?No | buy | 46.4 | $0.925 | $42.92 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 46.4 | $0.050 | $2.32 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.320 | $2.08 | 7d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 233.61 | $0.804 | $187.76 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | 7d ago |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 251.58 | $0.023 | $5.79 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.215 | $21.46 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 523 | $0.028 | $14.51 | 7d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 34.61 | $0.180 | $6.23 | 7d ago |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 638.89 | $0.180 | $115 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | sell | 271.02 | $0.410 | $111.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.110 | $3.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 470 | $0.110 | $51.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.76 | $0.110 | $1.4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.110 | $4.18 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.597 | $119.41 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.91 | $0.500 | $3.46 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | buy | 59.2 | $0.487 | $28.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.7 | $0.370 | $2.85 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.100 | $2.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.100 | $9.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.100 | $1.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.100 | $10.3 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.100 | $6.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.100 | $15 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.120 | $3.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.61 | $0.150 | $3.69 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.61 | $0.830 | $20.43 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.730 | $33.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.750 | $18.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.750 | $42.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.888 | $4.44 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.380 | $4.56 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.985 | $4.97 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Mar 15, 2026 |