Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Yes | sell | 188.58 | $0.038 | $7.17 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 369.37 |
| $0.033 |
| $12.32 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Yes | buy | 111.67 | $0.090 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?Yes | sell | 164.42 | $0.054 | $8.83 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?Yes | buy | 164.43 | $0.061 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 48.79 | $0.490 | $23.91 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by March 31No | sell | 4.34 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.400 | $1.66 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 79.39 | $0.082 | $6.51 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 93.63 | $0.160 | $14.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 79.4 | $0.126 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 93.64 | $0.107 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 369.38 | $0.027 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 221.45 | $0.672 | $148.82 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7?No | sell | 4 | $0.590 | $2.36 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 221.45 | $0.542 | $120 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 195.14 | $0.620 | $120.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 195.15 | $0.615 | $120 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 305.15 | $0.395 | $120.58 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 305.15 | $0.459 | $140 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 31No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 60.59 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 275.97 | $0.530 | $146.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.460 | $40 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 97.83 | $0.460 | $45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.256 | $9.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Yes | sell | 93.73 | $0.220 | $20.62 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.120 | $0.86 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.48 | $0.320 | $20 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.180 | $0.95 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.610 | $0.99 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.13 | $0.320 | $9 | Feb 13, 2026 |