Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.64K | $0.590 | $746.51 | -$221.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 213.11 | $0.150 | $31.97 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 832.1 |
| $0.810 |
| $728.09 |
| +$54.09 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.28K | $0.312 | $590.42 | +$192.06 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 517.86 | $0.656 | $484.2 | +$144.2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 457.97 | $0.690 | $373.25 | +$57.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 270.97 | $0.738 | $231.68 | +$31.78 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 352.62 | $0.601 | $185.12 | -$26.72 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 157.54 | $0.810 | $150.29 | +$22.73 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 166.03 | $0.827 | $143.61 | +$6.27 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 257.94 | $0.453 | $132.84 | +$16.06 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 564.06 | $0.640 | $121.27 | -$239.73 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.51K | $0.140 | $108.42 | -$102.25 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 258.93 | $0.313 | $91.02 | +$10.02 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 85.66 | $0.861 | $81.38 | +$7.65 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 464.31 | $0.155 | $71.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 109.89 | $0.455 | $48.57 | -$1.43 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 50.45 | $0.850 | $44.14 | +$1.26 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 99.17 | $0.360 | $35.2 | -$0.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 38.52 | $0.649 | $32.61 | +$7.61 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 32.26 | $0.310 | $27.9 | +$17.9 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 23.5 | $0.830 | $22.79 | +$3.28 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 154.02 | $0.377 | $13.86 | -$44.14 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 158.82 | $0.053 | $12.47 | +$3.97 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 818.18 | $0.011 | $8.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.016 | $7.75 | -$0.25 |
| sell |
| 50.4 |
| $0.550 |
| $27.72 |
| 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 213.33 | $0.150 | $32 | 6d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 94.95 | $0.500 | $47.48 | 7d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 458.14 | $0.392 | $179.59 | 9d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 457.97 | $0.690 | $316 | 11d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.15 | $0.039 | $3 | 13d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.455 | $50 | 14d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 346.67 | $0.150 | $52 | 15d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 15d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 191.8 | $0.620 | $118.92 | 16d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 409.5 | $0.337 | $138 | 17d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 276.66 | $0.960 | $265.59 | 17d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 822.39 | $0.130 | $106.91 | 18d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 525.7 | $0.213 | $111.97 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 147.28 | $0.870 | $128.13 | 25d ago |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 914.86 | $0.035 | $32 | 28d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 163.18 | $0.950 | $155.02 | 28d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 424.84 | $0.153 | $65 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 656.42 | $0.390 | $256 | 29d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.590 | $968 | 29d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 92.13 | $0.890 | $82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 258.93 | $0.313 | $81 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 377.08 | $0.480 | $181 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.450 | $126 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 180.61 | $0.265 | $47.86 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 98.25 | $0.448 | $44 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.91 | $0.349 | $38 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 378.24 | $0.650 | $245.86 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 208.89 | $0.450 | $94 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 564.06 | $0.640 | $361 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 76.22 | $0.860 | $65.55 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 790.48 | $0.630 | $498 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 20.2 | $0.440 | $8.89 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 139.76 | $0.872 | $121.81 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 512.85 | $0.934 | $479 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 48.47 | $0.840 | $40.71 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.625 | $15 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 161.96 | $0.840 | $136.05 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 440.48 | $0.840 | $370 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.36 | $0.288 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 983.74 | $0.123 | $121 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 70.81 | $0.390 | $27.62 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 212.96 | $0.830 | $176.76 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 England vs. DR Congo: Team to AdvanceDR Congo | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?No | buy | 178.57 | $0.560 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 109.98 | $0.053 | $5.83 | Jun 22, 2026 |