Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 157.44 | $0.129 | $29.13 | +$8.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.15 | $0.176 | $1.61 | 21h ago |
 |
| No |
| 28.71 |
| $0.697 |
| $27.13 |
| +$7.13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 121.72 | $0.163 | $15.21 | -$4.69 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.62 | $0.239 | $14.82 | +$7.75 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 82.2 | $0.193 | $14.38 | -$1.49 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 189.14 | $0.091 | $14.19 | -$3.06 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 38.33 | $0.522 | $13.22 | -$6.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 79.97 | $0.250 | $13.2 | -$6.8 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.71K | $0.008 | $12.85 | -$0.86 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 10.86 | $0.840 | $10.49 | +$1.37 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 12.8 | $0.340 | $10.18 | +$5.82 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 75.78 | $0.140 | $9.47 | -$1.14 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 62.5 | $0.320 | $8.44 | -$11.56 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.99 | $0.090 | $7.02 | -$2.7 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 69.87 | $0.286 | $6.64 | -$13.36 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 122.32 | $0.160 | $5.5 | -$14.08 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | 5.81 | $0.830 | $5.35 | +$0.53 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 6.78 | $0.800 | $5.25 | -$0.17 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.880 | $5.23 | -$14.77 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 522.2 | $0.024 | $5.22 | -$7.46 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.878 | $4.83 | -$0.44 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 101 | $0.060 | $4.54 | -$1.52 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.26 | $0.470 | $4.42 | +$0.54 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 32.04 | $0.103 | $4.02 | +$0.72 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 9.56 | $0.607 | $4.01 | -$1.79 |
| buy |
| 12.11 |
| $0.083 |
| $1.01 |
| 21h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 37.74 | $0.070 | $2.64 | 22h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.160 | $4.8 | 9d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 9d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 9d ago |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10.01 | $0.090 | $0.9 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.8 | $0.150 | $10.02 | 10d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.789 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.226 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 80.88 | $0.160 | $12.94 | 10d ago |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.111 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.190 | $1.77 | 10d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 10d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.190 | $2.5 | 10d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.16 | $0.190 | $1.55 | 10d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.607 | $5.8 | 10d ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.789 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.160 | $3.75 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.009 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.160 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.150 | $1.04 | 10d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.226 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.360 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 4.53 | $0.360 | $1.63 | 10d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.360 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.830 | $4.82 | 10d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.226 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 10d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 9.1 | $0.111 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.080 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | buy | 12.63 | $0.080 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 2.81 | $0.360 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.060 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.83 | $0.029 | $1.01 | 11d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.17 | $0.103 | $1.46 | 12d ago |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.29 | $0.170 | $1.07 | 12d ago |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.103 | $1.84 | 12d ago |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 650.51 | $0.007 | $4.55 | 12d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 16d ago |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.38 | $0.028 | $0.37 | 16d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.200 | $1.01 | 17d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.878 | $4.26 | 17d ago |