Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 425 | $0.796 | $363.38 | +$24.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.960 | $7.68 | 10d ago |
 |
| No |
| 271.54 |
| $0.916 |
| $261.9 |
| +$13.07 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 244 | $0.982 | $243.15 | +$3.54 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | No | 234.09 | $0.877 | $230.11 | +$24.75 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 160 | $0.934 | $155.92 | +$6.4 |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30? | No | 134 | $0.890 | $129.51 | +$10.25 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 125 | $0.958 | $123.31 | +$3.56 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 122 | $0.980 | $120.96 | +$1.4 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 122 | $0.982 | $118.65 | -$1.16 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 124 | $0.965 | $117.86 | -$1.74 |
 Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 152.98 | $0.787 | $117.03 | -$3.46 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 136 | $0.895 | $116.28 | -$5.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 125 | $0.920 | $115.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat? | Yes | 123 | $0.840 | $115.01 | +$11.65 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.880 | $111.54 | +$5.94 |
 First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election? | Yes | 150 | $0.930 | $109.5 | -$30 |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 139 | $0.860 | $109.11 | -$10.42 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | No | 127 | $0.940 | $104.78 | -$14.61 |
 Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | 120 | $0.806 | $102.6 | +$5.86 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? | Yes | 103 | $0.969 | $99.19 | -$0.62 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | No | 101 | $0.979 | $98.02 | -$0.82 |
 Will the National Union for Democracy and Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | No | 100 | $0.950 | $97.7 | +$2.7 |
 Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | No | 120 | $0.830 | $94.2 | -$5.4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? | Yes | 99 | $0.847 | $92.07 | +$8.25 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 97 | $0.880 | $89.73 | +$4.37 |
| buy |
| 496.72 |
| $0.055 |
| $27.52 |
| 11d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.873 | $27.94 | 16d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 18d ago |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 19d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 19d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 20d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 41 | $0.963 | $39.48 | 20d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.070 | $12.6 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 103 | $0.969 | $99.81 | 22d ago |
 First Round Outright Winner in the GA-09 House Election?Yes | buy | 0.34 | $0.930 | $0.32 | 22d ago |
 Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | 23d ago |
 Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No | sell | 33.81 | $0.700 | $23.67 | 23d ago |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.890 | $57.85 | 23d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.810 | $29.16 | 23d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | 23d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.930 | $7.44 | 24d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on August 15, 2026?No | buy | 61 | $0.990 | $60.39 | 24d ago |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.922 | $33.19 | 24d ago |
 Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.840 | $13.44 | 25d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.971 | $33.01 | 26d ago |
 Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.978 | $39.12 | 26d ago |
 Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?No | sell | 130 | $0.161 | $20.88 | 26d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.88 | $0.970 | $3.76 | 27d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | 27d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | sell | 135.28 | $0.300 | $40.58 | 27d ago |
 Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?No | sell | 47 | $0.347 | $16.32 | 27d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 454 | $0.220 | $99.88 | 27d ago |
| Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?No | buy | 61 | $0.980 | $59.78 | 28d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.525 | $19.44 | 29d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | 29d ago |
 Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 41.9 | $0.989 | $41.44 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 206 | $0.990 | $203.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 special election?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.820 | $27.88 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.988 | $6.92 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 7 | $0.991 | $6.94 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 40 | $0.985 | $39.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 156 | $0.320 | $49.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.976 | $99.55 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 160 | $0.935 | $149.52 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?No | buy | 79 | $0.989 | $78.16 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | sell | 122 | $0.690 | $84.18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.660 | $59.4 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 132 | $0.930 | $122.76 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 21 | $0.810 | $17.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.790 | $79.79 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 81 | $0.830 | $67.23 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 85 | $0.820 | $69.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will 2 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries?No | buy | 39 | $0.989 | $38.57 | Aug 4, 2026 |