Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $2.48 | +$1.48 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | sell | 1.32 | $0.450 | $0.59 | May 21, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $1.92 |
| +$0.92 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 3.93 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.43 |
| May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.25 | $0.140 | $0.74 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 0.67 | $0.940 | $0.63 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 2.67 | $0.150 | $0.4 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | sell | 2.04 | $0.720 | $1.47 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETDown | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETDown | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 0.57 | $0.730 | $0.42 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.7 | $0.700 | $1.19 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | sell | 0.76 | $0.370 | $0.28 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | sell | 2.27 | $0.300 | $0.68 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | sell | 2 | $0.310 | $0.62 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.830 | $18.04 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.630 | $8.08 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 5.95 | $0.930 | $5.53 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.800 | $6.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |