Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.81K | $0.875 | $3.57K | +$229.85 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.880 | $1.59K | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 198 |
| $0.985 |
| $195.03 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.47K | $0.966 | $3.35K | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.996 | $1.03K | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 95.95 | $0.720 | $69.08 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 403.02 | $0.720 | $290.17 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.08 | $0.727 | $111.29 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 30.5 | $0.090 | $2.75 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 339.1 | $0.002 | $0.55 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.1K | $0.984 | $4.03K | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 334.1 | $0.799 | $266.81 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 267.72 | $0.940 | $251.66 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.1K | $0.900 | $1.89K | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?No | buy | 287.86 | $0.992 | $285.56 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.660 | $762.3 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.970 | $1.03K | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.420 | $25.62 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 262 | $0.980 | $256.76 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 75-79 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 360 | $0.970 | $349.1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 398 | $0.960 | $382.08 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.980 | $65.66 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.41K | $0.997 | $7.38K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 99 | $0.999 | $98.9 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 110.78 | $0.984 | $109.01 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.958 | $4.56K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No | buy | 861 | $0.996 | $857.56 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 105.44 | $0.979 | $103.18 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 372.19 | $0.989 | $368.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 266 | $0.991 | $263.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 228 | $0.990 | $225.72 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 207.78 | $0.998 | $207.36 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.977 | $244.25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 163 | $0.958 | $156.15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 179 | $0.958 | $171.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 179 | $0.958 | $171.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 194 | $0.955 | $185.17 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 75 | $0.937 | $70.25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.965 | $1.02K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 45 | $0.932 | $41.94 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 398.53 | $0.939 | $374.22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.965 | $1.94K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 391 | $0.961 | $375.75 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 55 | $0.960 | $52.8 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.780 | $546 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 722 | $0.870 | $628.14 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.51K | $0.996 | $2.5K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.91K | $0.998 | $1.9K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.900 | $450 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.720 | $144 | Feb 23, 2026 |