Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 126.58 | $0.790 | $121.96 | +$21.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 98.16 | $0.700 | $68.71 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 226.05 |
| $0.354 |
| $100.82 |
| +$20.82 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 98.16 | $0.700 | $71.16 | +$2.45 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 340.91 | $0.088 | $35.28 | +$5.28 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes| buy |
| 126.58 |
| $0.790 |
| $100 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 226.05 | $0.354 | $80 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 144.93 | $0.690 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 340.91 | $0.088 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 439.2 | $0.590 | $259.13 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 412.37 | $0.412 | $169.9 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 195.86 | $0.367 | $71.98 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 412.37 | $0.188 | $77.67 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 53.89 | $0.412 | $22.23 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | sell | 219.06 | $0.107 | $23.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 219.07 | $0.407 | $89.27 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes | sell | 176.7 | $0.100 | $17.67 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.210 | $76.36 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 176.7 | $0.100 | $17.67 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.220 | $80 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.19 | $0.284 | $1.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 891.83 | $0.284 | $253.28 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 824.74 | $0.194 | $160 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 582.32 | $0.284 | $165.38 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 166.09 | $0.474 | $78.69 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 87.39 | $0.940 | $82.15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 87.39 | $0.690 | $60.3 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.100 | $33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.380 | $60 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.280 | $60 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 72.46 | $0.690 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.414 | $40 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No | buy | 169.35 | $0.590 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciucu win by 3-6%?Yes | buy | 185.56 | $0.539 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 696.49 | $0.960 | $668.72 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 514.54 | $0.002 | $1.03 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 514.55 | $0.220 | $113.2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 183.95 | $0.435 | $80 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 378.77 | $0.130 | $49.24 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.110 | $149.24 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 968.43 | $0.230 | $222.74 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 388.34 | $0.579 | $224.8 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No | buy | 473.32 | $0.470 | $222.46 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.060 | $104.95 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 300.13 | $0.160 | $48.02 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 567.23 | $0.176 | $100 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 342.39 | $0.180 | $61.63 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 892.09 | $0.168 | $150 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.060 | $70 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | May 31, 2025 |