Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 810.97 | $0.627 | $733.93 | +$225.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 548.72 | $0.364 | $200 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 784.62 |
| $0.229 |
| $663 |
| +$483 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | No | 650 | $0.715 | $620.75 | +$156.18 |
| US recession by end of 2027? | Yes | 548.72 | $0.364 | $172.85 | -$27.15 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 566.67 | $0.409 | $161.5 | -$70.5 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 255 | $0.392 | $144.07 | +$44.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 119.88 | $0.834 | $111.19 | +$11.19 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 217.39 | $0.460 | $43.48 | -$56.52 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 625 | $0.080 | $34.38 | -$15.63 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 406.25 | $0.283 | $30.47 | -$84.48 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | Yes | 65.24 | $0.383 | $30.34 | +$5.34 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 182.48 | $0.274 | $26 | -$24 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 444.44 | $0.045 | $8.22 | -$11.78 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.120 | $8.17 | -$1.83 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $6.5 | -$13.5 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 250 | $0.080 | $5.75 | -$14.25 |
| buy |
| 217.39 |
| $0.460 |
| $100 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No | buy | 255 | $0.392 | $100 | 17d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 350 | $0.266 | $93.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 65.24 | $0.383 | $25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.540 | $161.99 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No | buy | 150 | $0.644 | $96.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No | buy | 81.93 | $0.820 | $67.15 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 76.1 | $0.240 | $18.26 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No | buy | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.527 | $52.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 44.9 | $0.780 | $35.02 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | May 31, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 400 | $0.055 | $21.94 | May 31, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 200 | $0.054 | $10.84 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | May 24, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 31.4 | $0.100 | $3.14 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 26.75 | $0.290 | $7.76 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 16.4 | $0.529 | $8.68 | May 20, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.585 | $58.53 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.382 | $38.25 | May 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | May 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.540 | $108 | May 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.022 | $4.4 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Apr 30, 2026 |