Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 382.35 | $0.955 | $365 | Feb 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 10.45 |
| $0.957 |
| $10 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.957 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | sell | 549.71 | $0.999 | $549.16 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | sell | 50.16 | $0.997 | $50.01 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 599.88 | $0.993 | $595.68 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 543.69 | $0.998 | $542.6 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 543.69 | $0.997 | $542.06 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No | buy | 714.19 | $0.950 | $678.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 687.74 | $0.987 | $678.71 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 687.74 | $0.989 | $680.17 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 214.55 | $0.390 | $83.67 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 129.41 | $0.170 | $22 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 813 | $0.410 | $333.33 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.410 | $412.65 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.410 | $445.67 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 975.8 | $0.160 | $156.13 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.69K | $0.172 | $289.54 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.986 | $98.6 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes | buy | 279.06 | $0.990 | $276.25 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.989 | $7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?No | buy | 531.07 | $0.960 | $509.83 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?No | buy | 578.95 | $0.950 | $550 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 1.07K | $0.992 | $1.06K | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.991 | $1.06K | Feb 5, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.190 | $637.65 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.190 | $530.37 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.964 | $530.38 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 228.12 | $0.989 | $225.51 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 844.75 | $0.988 | $834.52 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 814.85 | $0.995 | $810.78 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 242.35 | $0.975 | $236.36 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 937.24 | $0.966 | $905.7 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.21K | $0.991 | $2.19K | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.961 | $5.77 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Yes | buy | 734.49 | $0.973 | $714.89 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.11K | $0.652 | $722.05 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.830 | $1.07K | Feb 4, 2026 |
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | buy | 313.41 | $0.820 | $257 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Feb 4, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.36 | $0.490 | $69.27 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Yes | sell | 337 | $0.588 | $198.12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?No | sell | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.120 | $240 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.180 | $420.46 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 1.04K | $0.997 | $1.04K | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 850 | $0.997 | $847.45 | Feb 3, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?No | buy | 6 | $0.820 | $4.92 | Feb 3, 2026 |