Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 3.7 | $0.721 | $3.13 | +$0.46 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $2.65 |
| +$1.65 |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.51 | $0.235 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 6.66 | $0.601 | $1.43 | -$2.57 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.915 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 35.71 | $0.028 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.01 | $0.992 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 3.62 | $0.552 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 15.44 | $0.130 | $0.77 | -$1.23 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | 2.64 | $0.379 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.096 | $0.74 | -$0.26 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 3.03 | $0.330 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
| buy |
| 3.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.941 | $1 | 5d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.096 | $1 | 5d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 24d ago |
 Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Will Sydney Gruters be the FL-16 Republican nominee?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 25d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 28d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.756 | $1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.872 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.072 | $0.44 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.163 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.184 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.189 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.204 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 10,000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.248 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by December 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.284 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.52 | $0.284 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.53 | $0.283 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.64 | $0.275 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |