Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | sell | 245.51 | $0.040 | $9.8 | Nov 13, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 245.52 |
| $0.081 |
| $20 |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.367 | $16.3 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.180 | $8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | buy | 203.5 | $0.025 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 34.77 | $0.052 | $1.82 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 351.74 | $0.043 | $15 | Feb 25, 2025 |