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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 178.04 | $0.733 | $132.64 | +$2.22 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.870 | $13.6 | 21h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 84.15 |
| $0.989 |
| $83.35 |
| +$0.13 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 51.83 | $0.681 | $49.34 | +$14.05 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 57.53 | $0.822 | $47.83 | +$0.55 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 35.99 | $0.850 | $31.49 | +$0.91 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 40.89 | $0.644 | $26.78 | +$0.46 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 20.9 | $0.865 | $18.08 | -$0.01 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 31.38 | $0.475 | $16.79 | +$1.89 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 20.57 | $0.797 | $16.56 | +$0.16 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 18.21 | $0.466 | $10.1 | +$1.61 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 43.01 | $0.375 | $8.39 | -$7.73 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 8.43 | $0.648 | $5.47 | +$0 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5.08 | $0.910 | $4.47 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.54 | $0.560 | $4.29 | +$0.62 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 4.61 | $0.860 | $4.28 | +$0.32 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3.19 | $0.780 | $2.67 | +$0.18 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.8 | $0.480 | $1.75 | -$0.55 |
 Will United Russia win the next Tambov Oblast Parliament elections? | Yes | 0.99 | $0.997 | $0.98 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 0.94 | $0.817 | $0.8 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1 | $0.700 | $0.73 | +$0.02 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.69 | $0.900 | $0.67 | +$0.05 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 0.75 | $0.831 | $0.63 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 18.98 | $0.059 | $0.54 | -$0.58 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.42 | $0.620 | $0.36 | +$0.1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.590 | $0.05 | -$0.2 |
| sell |
| 8 |
| $0.860 |
| $6.88 |
| 21h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.860 | $6.88 | 21h ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.860 | $6.88 | 21h ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 84.15 | $0.989 | $83.22 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.720 | $1.44 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.730 | $2.13 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 47.68 | $0.730 | $34.81 | 1d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 27.61 | $0.720 | $19.88 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.39 | $0.860 | $0.34 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.964 | $0.3 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.960 | $7.21 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.860 | $0.66 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.870 | $5.95 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.870 | $2.54 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.860 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.860 | $2.19 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.870 | $5.95 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.860 | $1.93 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 7.64 | $0.860 | $6.57 | 1d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.49 | $0.860 | $0.42 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.950 | $0.45 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.960 | $1.96 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.950 | $1.52 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.950 | $1.52 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.950 | $1.23 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.950 | $1.23 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.960 | $3.76 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.9 | $0.960 | $4.7 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.950 | $0.85 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.950 | $0.56 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.59 | $0.950 | $0.56 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.72 | $0.580 | $4.48 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.570 | $1.17 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.570 | $1.17 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 2.05 | $0.570 | $1.17 | 1d ago |