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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.360 | $0.38 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.29 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.29 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.840 | $1.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.3 | $0.330 | $2.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.820 | $6.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 6.64 | $0.736 | $4.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.880 | $3.96 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over | buy | 2.91 | $0.960 | $2.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.940 | $1.99 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 12?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over | buy | 1.59 | $0.940 | $1.49 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 12?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.410 | $0.94 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.960 | $4.63 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under | buy | 0.85 | $0.990 | $0.84 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 75 million or more views on day 4?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.964 | $6.26 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.016 | $0.02 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.040 | $0.21 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.023 | $0.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.11 | $0.170 | $1.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.943 | $0.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 2.78 | $0.260 | $0.72 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.006 | $0.1 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.010 | $0.03 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.006 | $0.06 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.21 | $0.900 | $1.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 2.1 | $0.210 | $0.44 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 4.14 | $0.710 | $2.94 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.87 | $0.340 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.59 | $0.610 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | sell | 1.29 | $0.120 | $0.15 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 3.93 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.56 | $0.380 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 1.79 | $0.470 | $0.84 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.16 | $0.970 | $1.13 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | sell | 1.06 | $0.960 | $1.02 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.13 | $0.880 | $0.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.48 | $0.870 | $1.29 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.800 | $0.99 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.67 | $0.580 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown | buy | 1.52 | $0.640 | $0.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 3 | $0.650 | $1.95 | Mar 14, 2026 |