Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.120 | $43.75 | -$6.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 433.49 |
| $0.115 |
| $23.84 |
| -$26.16 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 206.19 | $0.097 | $19.18 | -$0.82 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | Yes | 351 | $0.142 | $15.8 | -$34.2 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | Yes | 250 | $0.120 | $10 | -$20 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 858.17 | $0.024 | $3.86 | -$16.94 |
| buy |
| 1.13K |
| $0.018 |
| $20 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 59.17 | $0.338 | $20 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Yes | buy | 206.19 | $0.097 | $20 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?Yes | buy | 667.29 | $0.030 | $20 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 115.65 | $0.710 | $82.11 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 115.66 | $0.640 | $74.02 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?No | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 858.17 | $0.024 | $20.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Yes | buy | 433.49 | $0.115 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Yes | buy | 351 | $0.142 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2.09 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.320 | $40 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.016 | $50 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 520.83 | $0.048 | $25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.38K | $0.004 | $17.53 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 290.99 | $0.965 | $280.67 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 350.39 | $0.111 | $39 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 291 | $0.034 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 882.35 | $0.034 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 145.86 | $0.343 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?No | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.026 | $47.79 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.090 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be less than 60 minutes long?Yes | buy | 646.9 | $0.046 | $30 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.67K | $0.006 | $40 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Feb 18, 2026 |