Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.021 | $0.02 | -$0.98 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 26.82 | $0.001 | $0.03 | 17d ago |
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.99 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 10.99 | $0.091 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
 Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.01 | -$0.99 |
Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchYes| sell |
| 14.29 |
| $0.015 |
| $0.21 |
| 17d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.060 | $0.35 | 17d ago |
| Tread FDV above $200M one day after launchYes | sell | 5.88 | $0.067 | $0.39 | 17d ago |
 Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.021 | $0.3 | 17d ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.090 | $0.56 | 17d ago |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.080 | $0.57 | 17d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.080 | $0.67 | 17d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.025 | $0.93 | 17d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.16 | $0.160 | $1.15 | 17d ago |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.147 | $1.22 | 17d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.4 | $0.206 | $1.73 | 17d ago |
 Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.270 | $2.08 | 17d ago |
 Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.340 | $2.26 | 17d ago |
 Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?Yes | buy | 68.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?No | buy | 17.17 | $0.058 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?Yes | buy | 52.5 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.62 | $0.151 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by July 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.5B?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.092 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.119 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO on June 30, 2026 or later?Yes | buy | 36.46 | $0.027 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Tread FDV above $300M one day after launchYes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 26.82 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |