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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 15.45K | $0.009 | $133.62 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 3.97K |
| $0.050 |
| $200 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.008 | $10 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 505.05 | $0.099 | $50 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 2.21K | $0.984 | $2.18K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 352.94 | $0.744 | $262.71 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.988 | $3.95K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.66K | $0.071 | $188.86 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.079 | $152.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 28.74 | $0.717 | $20.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 352.94 | $0.119 | $42 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.086 | $210.18 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 5.59K | $0.150 | $838 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 109.74 | $0.182 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.151 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.112 | $200 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.109 | $300 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.93K | $0.103 | $300 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 356.49 | $0.085 | $30.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 350.03 | $0.286 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.130 | $300 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.070 | $500 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.93K | $0.155 | $300 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 2.58K | $0.060 | $155 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.100 | $260 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.034 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.62K | $0.028 | $130 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 565.2 | $0.073 | $41.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.017 | $50 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 5.88K | $0.017 | $100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 8.25K | $0.090 | $744 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 4.24K | $0.858 | $3.64K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 4.24K | $0.024 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 9.07K | $0.077 | $700 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.021 | $31.55 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | sell | 8.86K | $0.053 | $473.09 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.080 | $120 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.61K | $0.172 | $448.42 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.87K | $0.091 | $444 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?Yes | buy | 8.86K | $0.056 | $500 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61K | $0.191 | $500 | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.25K | $0.090 | $1.46K | May 23, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.7K | $0.069 | $186 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 3.92K | $0.034 | $134.36 | May 22, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.25K | $0.080 | $1.3K | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.97K | $0.014 | $182.97 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.51K | $0.170 | $427.08 | May 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 22.57K | $0.024 | $539.41 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes | sell | 2.49K | $0.081 | $202.09 | May 22, 2026 |