Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.046 | $3.77 | May 30, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 60 |
| $0.238 |
| $14.28 |
| May 29, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.212 | $31.59 | May 29, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.290 | $2.61 | May 29, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.330 | $12.21 | May 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.444 | $5.77 | May 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.440 | $14.52 | May 28, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | May 27, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.720 | $12.24 | May 27, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 66 | $0.720 | $47.52 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 62 | $0.769 | $47.68 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.851 | $45.1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.145 | $11.6 | May 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.982 | $47.14 | May 24, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.983 | $47.18 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 9 | $0.967 | $8.7 | May 22, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 61 | $0.680 | $41.48 | May 21, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 742 | $0.052 | $38.58 | May 14, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.054 | $54.22 | May 14, 2026 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.976 | $49.78 | May 14, 2026 |
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No | buy | 159 | $0.973 | $154.71 | May 14, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 277 | $0.982 | $272.01 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 997 | $0.028 | $27.92 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 997 | $0.028 | $27.92 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 257 | $0.969 | $249.03 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.021 | $21.08 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.025 | $25.1 | May 12, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 687 | $0.056 | $38.47 | May 12, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.057 | $58.94 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 295 | $0.959 | $282.91 | May 12, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 103 | $0.959 | $98.78 | May 12, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 63 | $0.986 | $62.12 | May 11, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.950 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.965 | $1.7 | May 24, 2025 |
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.975 | $1.49 | May 8, 2025 |
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.957 | $1.94 | Apr 24, 2025 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.979 | $1.5 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?No | buy | 6 | $0.948 | $5.69 | Mar 20, 2025 |
Ducks vs. Red WingsRed Wings | buy | 17 | $0.640 | $10.88 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 23?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.530 | $16.96 | Feb 23, 2025 |
Stanford vs. Georgia TechStanford | buy | 8 | $0.510 | $4.08 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Grambling State vs. Alabama A&MGrambling State | buy | 17 | $0.500 | $8.5 | Feb 10, 2025 |
NJIT vs. New HampshireNJIT | buy | 6 | $0.520 | $3.12 | Feb 8, 2025 |
Senators vs. LightningSenators | buy | 16 | $0.410 | $6.56 | Feb 6, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 5?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | sell | 12 | $0.798 | $9.58 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | buy | 12 | $0.796 | $9.55 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Will Andrew Tate tweet 300-319 times Jan 17-24?No | buy | 24 | $0.760 | $18.24 | Jan 24, 2025 |
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.954 | $16.22 | Jan 24, 2025 |