Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 7.93 | $0.530 | $3.92 | -$0.28 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 5.58 | $0.840 | $4.69 | Aug 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.26 |
| $0.164 |
| $0.33 |
| -$0.36 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.33 | $0.275 | $0.33 | -$0.31 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.3 | $0.850 | $0.26 | -$0 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | Yes | 2.22 | $0.136 | $0.2 | -$0.1 |
| sell |
| 15.5 |
| $0.181 |
| $2.81 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 34.57 | $0.100 | $3.46 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 48.93 | $0.098 | $4.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.029 | $0.68 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.458 | $1.54 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 18.54 | $0.182 | $3.37 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | buy | 36.79 | $0.136 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.255 | $6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 212.74 | $0.143 | $30.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 217.57 | $0.140 | $30.45 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.840 | $11.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 314.47 | $0.159 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.606 | $60.57 | May 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | May 18, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.928 | $185.6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 399.99 | $0.620 | $247.99 | May 18, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.346 | $69.21 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | sell | 71.42 | $0.680 | $48.57 | May 17, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.660 | $264 | May 17, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026No | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | May 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | May 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.927 | $185.4 | May 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | May 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 299.98 | $0.927 | $278.08 | May 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.928 | $278.4 | May 15, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?Down | sell | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | May 15, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?Down | sell | 99.99 | $0.210 | $21 | May 15, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?Up | sell | 200 | $0.741 | $148.25 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 79.55 | $0.176 | $14 | May 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.998 | $14.25 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 436.87 | $0.184 | $80.39 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 107.58 | $0.186 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.985 | $2.35 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9.1 | $0.394 | $3.59 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 29.81 | $0.510 | $15.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 59.17 | $0.169 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 10.69 | $0.986 | $10.54 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 174.42 | $0.172 | $30 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.162 | $30 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.275 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.47 | $0.401 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown | buy | 8.1 | $0.580 | $4.7 | Apr 11, 2026 |