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Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.871 | $5.89 | +$0.66 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 12.7 | $0.980 | $12.45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
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| No |
| 6 |
| $0.930 |
| $5.87 |
| +$0.29 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 6 | $0.270 | $5.76 | +$4.14 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.700 | $5.73 | +$1.53 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.680 | $5.01 | +$0.93 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 5.89 | $0.548 | $1.36 | -$1.87 |
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.389 | $1.31 | -$1.03 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 24 | $0.074 | $0.76 | -$1.02 |
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | Yes | 6 | $0.280 | $0.69 | -$0.99 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 28.6 | $0.070 | $0.67 | -$1.33 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.390 |
| $2.34 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.940 | $5.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.630 | $3.78 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.590 | $3.55 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.962 | $5.77 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.480 | $2.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.620 | $3.72 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.870 | $5.22 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 14.3 | $0.039 | $0.56 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes | sell | 9.69 | $0.170 | $1.65 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.8 | $0.080 | $4.06 | Apr 24, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.026 | $0.21 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.300 | $1.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.074 | $1.78 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.871 | $5.23 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.040 | $0.36 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.550 | $3.18 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.300 | $1.8 | Apr 23, 2026 |
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | buy | 5.96 | $0.926 | $5.52 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.050 | $0.49 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.050 | $0.45 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.260 | $1.79 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.260 | $1.79 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.260 | $1.79 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.389 | $2.33 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.190 | $1.16 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.046 | $0.28 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.6 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 6 | $0.700 | $4.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.210 | $2.03 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.006 | $0.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.760 | $18.24 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.650 | $3.9 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.280 | $1.68 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Apr 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.3 | $0.140 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |