Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venezuela intervention by August 31?Yes | buy | 119.57 | $0.070 | $8.37 | Aug 12, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.070 |
| $1 |
| Jul 31, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before Election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Trump convicted of another felony before election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "coconut" before August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Garland releases Biden-Hur tape by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US in 2024?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. wins a state?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?Yes | buy | 7.64 | $0.131 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Ethena crash in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden be on Ohio Presidential Ballot?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Biden pardon SBF?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.068 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 $EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Is John McAfee alive?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Biden removed via 25th Amendment?Yes | buy | 18.3 | $0.055 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Tether Insolvent in 2024?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.058 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 DNC open convention?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Venezuela intervention by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Turkey suspends diplomatic relations with Israel?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.038 | $2 | Jul 31, 2024 |
| Will Kamala say "Brat" before August?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jul 31, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 75k in July?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza before September?Yes | buy | 9.71 | $0.103 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in July?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Couch" before August?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jul 30, 2024 |