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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 10K | $0.548 | $8.65K | +$3.17K |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.961 | $961 | 12d ago |
 |
| No |
| 7.59K |
| $0.807 |
| $6.53K |
| +$399.54 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 5.99K | $0.545 | $4.22K | +$959.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 3.47K | $0.780 | $3.25K | +$537.98 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 920 | $0.550 | $455.4 | -$50.6 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.9K | $0.160 | $391.5 | -$72.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.248 | $216.75 | -$154.69 |
| sell |
| 700 |
| $0.704 |
| $492.85 |
| 12d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.120 | $240 | 12d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.886 | $177.2 | 12d ago |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 2K | $0.350 | $699.29 | 12d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5.83K | $0.351 | $2.05K | 12d ago |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 1.19K | $0.776 | $923.42 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?No | buy | 225.74 | $0.551 | $124.36 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.309 | $465.98 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | sell | 2.64K | $0.401 | $1.06K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.548 | $1.9K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.670 | $2.01K | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 818 | $0.489 | $399.6 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.439 | $773.53 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3K | $0.868 | $2.6K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 216.1 | $0.952 | $205.73 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.069 | $98 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.004 | $24 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 165.08 | $0.219 | $36.18 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 333.84 | $0.220 | $73.44 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | sell | 200.1 | $0.410 | $82.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 199.06 | $0.940 | $187.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes | buy | 2.82K | $0.900 | $2.54K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.220 | $1.32K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.145 | $872.95 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 2K | $0.360 | $719.27 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.780 | $2.24K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 856.56 | $0.819 | $701.34 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 589.39 | $0.795 | $468.39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 5.08K | $0.494 | $2.51K | May 30, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.966 | $483.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.940 | $940 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.740 | $740 | May 27, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 1.26K | $0.430 | $541.2 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 400 | $0.630 | $252 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 562 | $0.429 | $240.87 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.410 | $328 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.430 | $8.6 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.827 | $1.65K | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.770 | $2.31K | May 20, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 920 | $0.550 | $506 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | buy | 358.57 | $0.570 | $204.38 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | buy | 100 | $0.569 | $56.94 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | buy | 100 | $0.569 | $56.92 | May 19, 2026 |