Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 51.28 |
| $0.035 |
| $1.79 |
| May 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | May 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.080 | $4.21 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.012 | $0.32 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | sell | 9.58 | $0.043 | $0.42 | May 13, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.42 | $0.359 | $3.74 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | sell | 6.32 | $0.090 | $0.57 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.491 | $2.46 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.217 | $4.34 | May 11, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.231 | $4.62 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.114 | $0.57 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 8.17 | $0.820 | $6.7 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?Up | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 273.97 | $0.054 | $14.79 | May 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.110 | $6.16 | May 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 273.97 | $0.073 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.040 | $0.06 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the US add at least 250k jobs in April?Yes | buy | 45.02 | $0.022 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Authoritarian" or "Authoritarianism" in Michigan?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Tuition" in Michigan?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Bernie Sanders say "Data Center" in Michigan?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Ammo" or "Ammunition" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Third rate" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "TrumpRX" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.600 | $5.99 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Hell" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.490 | $7.9 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 41.78 | $0.957 | $40 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.959 | $10 | Apr 30, 2026 |