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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MrBeast's Celebrity Challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.940 | $1.45 | Jan 14, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.22 |
| $0.755 |
| $0.92 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.990 | $1.47 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No | sell | 1.79 | $0.740 | $1.32 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.790 | $1.34 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.999 | $1.22 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.930 | $1.29 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.592 | $0.69 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.780 | $1.4 | Dec 25, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | sell | 1.58 | $0.830 | $1.31 | Dec 20, 2025 |
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.860 | $1.18 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.890 | $1.27 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.971 | $1.13 | Dec 14, 2025 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.986 | $1.32 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.947 | $1.28 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in December?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.680 | $1.31 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 15.3 | $0.993 | $15.19 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.420 | $1.07 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.969 | $1.29 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.910 | $1.31 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.750 | $1.19 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.880 | $1.08 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.930 | $1.3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.860 | $1.47 | Oct 18, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.500 | $1.27 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?No | sell | 4.05 | $0.770 | $3.12 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.930 | $1.48 | Sep 25, 2025 |
China coup attempt in 2025?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.978 | $4.99 | Sep 20, 2025 |
Will FrP win the second most seats in the Norway election?Yes | buy | 28.62 | $0.930 | $26.62 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.983 | $1.41 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.998 | $15.27 | Aug 17, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.976 | $1.4 | Aug 11, 2025 |
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.973 | $1.32 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.937 | $1.35 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.584 | $0.91 | Aug 2, 2025 |
China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.967 | $4.94 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.972 | $1.15 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.977 | $1.11 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.919 | $1.33 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.967 | $0.42 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.800 | $1.24 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Marc Marquez win the 2025 MotoGP Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.740 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.974 | $1.32 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.973 | $1.11 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.970 | $1.32 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 0.81 | $0.975 | $0.79 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Tre Johnson be the fifth pick of the 2025 NBA Draft?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.990 | $1.08 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.992 | $0.93 | May 30, 2025 |