Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 228.8 | $0.990 | $228.46 | +$1.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 228.8 | $0.990 | $226.51 | Jul 31, 2026 |
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| No |
| 36 |
| $0.991 |
| $35.98 |
| +$0.31 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 33 | $0.993 | $32.95 | +$0.18 |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 28 | $0.993 | $27.96 | +$0.15 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 25 | $0.979 | $24.61 | +$0.14 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.392 | $5.03 | +$1.11 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.208 | $3.74 | -$0.42 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40 | $0.112 | $3.5 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 33 |
| $0.999 |
| $32.97 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.999 | $32.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 214 | $0.999 | $213.79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 292 | $0.999 | $291.71 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 102 | $0.999 | $101.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 107 | $0.999 | $106.89 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 144 | $0.999 | $143.86 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | buy | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 11 | $0.969 | $10.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?No | buy | 13.99 | $0.980 | $13.71 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?No | buy | 147 | $0.999 | $146.85 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 188.2 | $0.997 | $187.64 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $30 in April?No | buy | 37.99 | $0.999 | $37.96 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No | buy | 275.96 | $0.999 | $275.68 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 28 | $0.993 | $27.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 25 | $0.979 | $24.47 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 18 | $0.999 | $17.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 12 | $0.998 | $11.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.113 | $2.26 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?No | buy | 155 | $0.999 | $154.85 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 28.6 | $0.998 | $28.54 | Mar 22, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?No | buy | 333 | $0.998 | $332.33 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will XRP reach $2.60 in February?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.999 | $15.38 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 222 | $0.999 | $221.78 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Barcelona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 12.34 | $0.993 | $12.25 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 36 | $0.991 | $35.68 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 100 | $0.991 | $99.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?No | buy | 159 | $0.999 | $158.84 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Lighter reach $5.50 in January?No | buy | 77 | $0.999 | $76.92 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.996 | $32.87 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 33 | $0.993 | $32.77 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?No | buy | 366 | $0.999 | $365.63 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 218.04 | $0.998 | $217.6 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 92 | $0.998 | $91.82 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under | buy | 729.99 | $0.999 | $729.25 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No | buy | 514.99 | $0.999 | $514.48 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Celtic FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?No | buy | 514.99 | $0.999 | $514.48 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-21?Yes | buy | 514.99 | $0.999 | $514.48 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Will US Concarneau vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No | buy | 175.99 | $0.999 | $175.81 | Dec 21, 2025 |