What is the “Will Washington beat Michigan?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Washington beat Michigan? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “CFB: Washington vs. Michigan”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Washington on 6 Oct 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on the outcome of the college football game between Washington and Michigan.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

2 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 7, 4:52 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-washington-vs-michigan) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Washington: Will Washington beat Michigan?

Market referencewill-washington-beat-michiganUpdated Oct 7, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Washington · settled Oct 6, 2024 UTC

Washington

100.0%

Michigan

0.0%

Final Washington 100¢Final Michigan 0¢

Lifetime volume

$17.8K

Resolved

Washington

Settled

Oct 6, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 7, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 7, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Washington

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

193 / 102.04

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$10.7K

Michigan buy at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+18 pts

Range

51.0% - 69.0%

Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
CoinFlippa	Washington	193	51.6%	$193	Oct 5, 8:30 PM UTC
Lumberg	Michigan	102.04	49.0%

CFB: Washington vs. Michigan

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Washington beat Michigan?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Washington beat Michigan? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “CFB: Washington vs. Michigan”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Washington on 6 Oct 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on the outcome of the college football game between Washington and Michigan.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?: 2 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

CoinFlippa

Washington

193

51.6%

$193

Oct 5, 8:30 PM UTC

Lumberg

Michigan

102.04

49.0%