- What is the “Will Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Ukraine take responsibility for X attack by Friday? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved No on 15 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official representative of the Ukrainian government publicly claims responsibility for a cyberattack on X/Twitter by March 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be statements made by official government sources (e.g., verified accounts, press releases, announcements from government officials speaking in an official capacity, etc.).
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
