Question 1

What is the “Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will there be 4-6 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

How did this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

It resolved No on 28 Jul 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market will resolve to "0". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. This market may resolve based on the…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who still holds shares in this market?

Accepted Answer

3 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 29, 9:27 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-hurricanes-will-form-during-the-atlantic-hurricane-season-in-2026-20260723192532700) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC	36.5%	36.5%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	32.5%	32.5%

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jul 28, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Jul 27, 12:00 AM UTC	36.5%	36.5%
Jul 26, 12:00 AM UTC	32.5%	32.5%

Questions about this market

Questions about this market