What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 17 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

37 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 18, 3:18 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/reserve-bank-of-australia-decision-in-march) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target…

Market referencewill-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-decrease-the-target-for-the-cash-rate-after-the-march-meetingUpdated Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 17, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Mar 18, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

87%

Yes / No shares

8.11K / 14.98K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

Loaded notional

$4.6K

Yes buy at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-49 pts

Range

0.1% - 49.5%

Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	0.1%	0.1%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	0.3%	0.3%
Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC	0.2%	0.2%

Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March…” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 17 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

0.1%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

0.3%

Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC

0.2%

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?

Questions about this market

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Reserve Bank of Australia decision in March?

Questions about this market