Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?

Name: Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

cryptoResolved

No · settled Oct 9, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.3M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 9, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.61M	0.0%	$0
Idolized-Cellar	Yes	26.95K	5.8%	$1.55K
dasdeqweq	Yes	22.41K	17.4%	$3.9K
JohnSmith48593	Yes	10.82K	10.1%	$1.1K
nutterbutters	Yes	7K	10.0%	$700.1
IAmHarold	Yes	6.65K	0.7%	$47.94	Oct 9, 2:19 AM UTC
snip3r	Yes	6.14K	1.4%	$88.19	Oct 9, 1:17 AM UTC
qrpenc	Yes	4K	3.3%	$133.33	Oct 9, 3:01 AM UTC
tizzo005	Yes	3.77K	19.3%	$726.63
deansabag	Yes	3.38K	21.7%	$733.26
Bromsloy	Yes	3.13K	0.1%	$4.26	Oct 9, 3:26 AM UTC
jollukos	Yes	2.92K	14.2%	$415
YLP	Yes	2.09K	4.8%	$100.79
Lalaf	Yes	2.09K	9.6%	$200
InfinityExists	Yes	2K	8.8%	$177
AlienXBT	Yes	1.96K	6.7%	$132
JamesShl	Yes	1.77K	7.5%	$132.99
expomax	Yes	1.35K	10.6%	$143.33
Arthure12	Yes	1.32K	11.1%	$146.8
johnnyutah	Yes	1.31K	9.8%	$128
w88817	Yes	1.28K	8.4%	$107.17
SendoraFulton	Yes	1.23K	11.9%	$146
Kakami	Yes	1.22K	0.2%	$2	Oct 9, 3:32 AM UTC
lmk	Yes	1.18K	16.9%	$200
Indigo Ledger C396	Yes	1.16K	6.7%	$77.23
satoshimakiato	Yes	1.13K	13.4%	$150.64
calabrenzio	Yes	1.04K	9.6%	$100
xijeetping	Yes	1.04K	9.6%	$99.18
lovelymonies	Yes	1K	8.5%	$85
CDR	Yes	967.85	8.7%	$84.2
Anime	Yes	958.2	10.4%	$100
konflaejk	Yes	886.08	7.9%	$70
Amber Oracle 9956	Yes	862.07	11.6%	$100
tghost331	Yes	813.67	5.9%	$47.9
hhhhhhhhh69	Yes	800	5.0%	$40
bjhhhjj	Yes	796.85	15.0%	$119.65
entrpy	Yes	794.98	10.4%	$82.68
vmstabile	Yes	748.85	17.1%	$127.85
sopranoxxx	Yes	725.16	6.9%	$50
toasterb	Yes	598.6	5.0%	$30
Wuanty	Yes	517.69	1.2%	$6.27	Oct 9, 1:21 AM UTC
Violet Beacon FCC9	Yes	464.85	11.4%	$53
SatoshiMario	Yes	442.78	11.3%	$50
Vazgenik	Yes	442.48	11.3%	$50
MrRuzveld	Yes	386.95	15.5%	$60
Tarvin	Yes	366.67	15.0%	$55
Stonkfund	Yes	360.08	13.9%	$50
Analogovnet	Yes	354.16	0.9%	$3.05	Oct 9, 2:20 AM UTC
siriochi	Yes	331.37	9.0%	$30
WALE	Yes	300	10.7%	$32
Tomaka	Yes	297.67	6.7%	$20
Mouu	Yes	290.25	10.3%	$29.96
Satoshinakamoto	Yes	280.14	7.8%	$21.83
ace999	Yes	271.2	6.1%	$16.54
Ckvladimir	Yes	250	4.0%	$10	Oct 9, 12:59 AM UTC
skole	Yes	220.22	8.7%	$19.19
lex12	Yes	208.59	10.5%	$21.89
handsher	Yes	176.99	11.3%	$20
creator5923	Yes	169.49	5.9%	$10
slk200	Yes	157.48	12.7%	$20
Lesi	Yes	147.34	9.7%	$14.26
rishotic	Yes	144.93	6.9%	$10
NoXXik	Yes	144.93	6.9%	$10
Phunky	Yes	140.85	7.1%	$10
kontorskiy	Yes	140.74	10.3%	$14.57
Phineas	Yes	138.89	7.2%	$10
Smiltroy	Yes	129.63	5.4%	$7
BADTRIPKENS	Yes	125	4.0%	$5	Oct 9, 12:58 AM UTC
NotSatoshi	Yes	117.65	8.5%	$10
pap-x	Yes	114.94	8.7%	$10
memento	Yes	112.34	13.4%	$15
Inf0rmatik0r	Yes	109.14	13.7%	$15
asix	Yes	105.04	13.3%	$13.97
Anonnudak	Yes	104.17	9.6%	$10
MikDouglas	Yes	103.05	10.2%	$10.51
ray1337	Yes	102.74	14.6%	$15
yanix	Yes	101.12	8.9%	$9
origed	Yes	100	6.6%	$6.6
gambo-278	Yes	100	28.9%	$28.9
Bastin	Yes	98.04	10.2%	$10
fapir	Yes	97.09	10.3%	$10
0xakshay	Yes	89.89	8.9%	$8
Gatsu	Yes	86.96	11.5%	$10
Philipopolis	Yes	86.96	11.5%	$10
Rfkfqjrb	Yes	86.11	19.8%	$17.04
x107.eth	Yes	83.1	12.0%	$10
savosya312	Yes	79.37	6.3%	$5
Verdigris	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1	Oct 9, 1:30 AM UTC
BurninBob	Yes	73.02	32.8%	$23.95
Shillb0	Yes	72.69	16.0%	$11.63
Mr.cai	Yes	71.94	13.9%	$10
Ideal-Inauguration	Yes	70.42	7.1%	$5
awdawdsd2qdaxs	Yes	61.23	11.1%	$6.8
Chakra	Yes	59.24	9.2%	$5.45
Zenchad	Yes	55.28	8.9%	$4.92
dof	Yes	53.69	14.9%	$8
draken	Yes	52.63	3.8%	$2	Oct 9, 12:52 AM UTC
eugen-396	Yes	50	17.9%	$8.95
zzeeeemp	Yes	45.87	10.9%	$5
nahthx	Yes	43.86	11.4%	$5
Soheiru	Yes	41.42	16.9%	$7
Emerald Beacon F675	Yes	40.01	1.3%	$0.51
gumballfanatic987	Yes	40	7.5%	$3
crypsat	Yes	38.51	10.1%	$3.89
luluqin	Yes	38.46	13.0%	$5
keklol228	Yes	38.1	10.5%	$4
saittama	Yes	32	30.0%	$9.6
Stumpy317	Yes	27.52	10.9%	$3
mysteryhunter	Yes	27.46	7.1%	$1.95
userx7	Yes	27.27	7.3%	$2
Vadymkochura1	Yes	25.29	3.4%	$0.86	Oct 9, 1:07 AM UTC
beesknees	Yes	23.81	8.4%	$2
iluvgambling	Yes	23.01	76.0%	$17.49
Aeacussss	Yes	21.98	9.1%	$2
Fickle-Temporariness	Yes	20	0.6%	$0.12	Oct 9, 2:07 AM UTC
Enraged-Convention	Yes	19.32	8.8%	$1.7
taysonreall	Yes	18.99	7.9%	$1.5
PeaceFullLamas	Yes	17.46	7.1%	$1.24
zozo82	Yes	16.9	5.8%	$0.98
truzhenikovn	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1
pyrojoker	Yes	14.07	11.2%	$1.58
starkzk	Yes	13.89	14.4%	$2
skymey	Yes	13.16	7.6%	$1
Dyl123-102	Yes	12.2	8.2%	$1
molexstk	Yes	12.1	16.5%	$2
Bowed-Afternoon	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
tiffanyqiu	Yes	9.26	10.8%	$1
GcapCrypto	Yes	5.41	18.5%	$1
Lopsided-Seabass	Yes	5	9.4%	$0.47
anoano	Yes	3.5	14.0%	$0.49
Myrepatti	Yes	1.35	14.7%	$0.2
asdsdasdas	Yes	0.94	10.6%	$0.1
ewrwerw	Yes	0.94	10.6%	$0.1
kirakiarakira	Yes	0.94	10.6%	$0.1
morganaa231	Yes	0.9	9.4%	$0.08
nagatoshi01	Yes	0.63	8.0%	$0.05
deno	Yes	0.21	9.7%	$0.02

137 of 137 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.61M
VvVv	$0.05
one8tyfive	$0.05

Analytics