What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 18 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

41 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decisions-jan-apr) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions…

Market referencewill-the-fed-pausecutcut-in-the-next-three-decisions-janmaraprUpdated Apr 28, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 18, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Apr 28, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

94%

Yes / No shares

12.99K / 19.92K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

440

Wallets

197

Loaded notional

$127.69K

No buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-34 pts

Range

0.3% - 34.5%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC	0.4%	0.4%
Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC	0.3%	0.3%
Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC	0.7%	0.7%

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 18 Mar 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

0.4%

Mar 17, 12:00 AM UTC

0.3%

Mar 15, 12:00 AM UTC

0.7%

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Questions about this market

Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Questions about this market