Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?

Market referencewill-the-december-2024-temperature-increase-be-between-1pt25-1pt29cUpdated Jan 11, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jan 10, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$458.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 10, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Feb 1, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 11, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

12.9 / 239.5K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

241

Loaded notional

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 39 points · 3 Dec 2024 – 10 Jan 2025

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
3 Dec 2024	32.5%
10 Jan 2025	88.6%

Remaining holders after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side; not live open interest.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	235.72K
KimbalMusk	No	1.86K
VK1	No

December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Analytics

Yes price, first and last observation
Observed	Yes price
3 Dec 2024	32.5%
10 Jan 2025	88.6%

Trader

Outcome

Indigo Signal 2966

235.72K

KimbalMusk

1.86K

VK1