Market referencewill-sbf-launch-a-coin-by-september-30Updated Oct 2, 2025 UTC
Resolved
No · settled Oct 1, 2025 UTC
Yes
0.0%
No
100.0%
Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢
Lifetime volume
$170.5K
Resolved
No
Settled
Oct 1, 2025 UTC
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
Oct 2, 2025 UTC
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Oct 2, 2025 UTC
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Resolved
Order book
Captured book available
Final outcome
No
The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
23
Wallets
23
Top 10 share
91%
Yes / No shares
19.67K / 0
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
500
Wallets
432
Loaded notional
$18.98K
No sell at 99.6%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
7
Move
-0.7 pts
Range
0.1% - 0.9%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
0.2%
0.2%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC
0.1%
0.1%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC
0.5%
0.5%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will SBF launch a coin by September 30? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved No on 1 Oct 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
Sam Bankman-Fried is tweeting again (https://x.com/SBF_FTX/status/1894204086754709951). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried officially launches a token by and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tokens which are confirmed to have been launched by Sam Bankman-Fried, either through posts from official social media channels, or otherwise confirmed by public statements will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC
0.6%
0.6%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC
0.9%
0.9%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC
0.8%
0.8%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC
0.9%
0.9%
Who still holds shares in this market?
23 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 8:35 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-sbf-launch-a-coin-by-september-30) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
