Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 24?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$21.5K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Marpeap	buy	Yes	0.1%	1K	Dec 11, 6:36 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 12:07 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.9%	15	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
zxcursed121	sell	Yes	0.1%	85	Dec 11, 10:58 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	34.73	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 10:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	186.61	Dec 11, 10:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	125.01	Dec 11, 10:04 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.7%	100	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.7%	154.1	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
flow-trader-at-optiver	buy	No	99.7%	823.2	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.6%	30	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	154.11	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.6%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	125.99	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	25.7	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
Mocrotox	sell	Yes	0.4%	100	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.0%	55	Dec 11, 9:33 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.0%	15	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.0%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.0%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.0%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	98.6%	130	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	98.7%	45.01	Dec 11, 9:30 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	98.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:28 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.6%	20	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	134.63	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	9	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	45	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.6%	20	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	80	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	95	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.6%	10	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.6%	30	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	132.67	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	30	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.6%	20	Dec 11, 9:12 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	30	Dec 11, 9:12 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.6%	20	Dec 11, 9:10 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	3.2%	31.25	Dec 11, 9:09 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.6%	70.9	Dec 11, 9:07 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	1.0%	64.4	Dec 11, 9:07 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	56	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	40	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.6%	24	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.6%	5	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC