Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 19?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.4K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	3.31	Dec 11, 6:01 PM UTC
Grateful-Sushi	buy	Yes	0.5%	429.21	Dec 11, 2:06 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	31.47	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	34.04	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	34.48	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	36.79	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	38.04	Dec 11, 12:55 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	210.99	Dec 11, 12:55 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	31	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	179.01	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	25	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	25	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	60	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 12:31 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 12:29 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 12:27 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 12:07 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.9%	15	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	34.73	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 10:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	186.61	Dec 11, 10:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	125.01	Dec 11, 10:04 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	154.1	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
Mocrotox	sell	Yes	0.1%	100	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
flow-trader-at-optiver	buy	No	99.9%	823.2	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	154.1	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	25.71	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	126	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
Resonances	sell	Yes	0.2%	48	Dec 11, 9:46 AM UTC
Resonances	sell	Yes	0.2%	31	Dec 11, 9:46 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	55	Dec 11, 9:33 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	55	Dec 11, 9:33 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	15	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	130	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	45.01	Dec 11, 9:30 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.8%	40	Dec 11, 9:28 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	134.63	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.7%	45	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC