Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 18?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$36.0K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
SaylorMoon	sell	Yes	0.1%	4K	Dec 11, 6:07 PM UTC
probability	sell	Yes	0.2%	396.69	Dec 11, 6:06 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	3.31	Dec 11, 6:01 PM UTC
Grateful-Sushi	buy	Yes	1.4%	365.87	Dec 11, 5:49 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	25.27	Dec 11, 2:25 PM UTC
f330	buy	No	99.9%	20.02	Dec 11, 2:24 PM UTC
KilaWapi	buy	No	99.9%	3.36	Dec 11, 2:13 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 2:08 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	205.59	Dec 11, 12:59 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.9%	90	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	31.47	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	384.01	Dec 11, 12:57 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	71.26	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	211.07	Dec 11, 12:55 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	31	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	179.01	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	25	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	25	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	60	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 12:31 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.7%	20	Dec 11, 12:29 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.7%	23.75	Dec 11, 12:29 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.7%	20	Dec 11, 12:27 PM UTC
eremei	buy	Yes	1.6%	63.75	Dec 11, 12:07 PM UTC
SoftG	buy	Yes	1.0%	100	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
Vcat1-7	buy	No	99.8%	1	Dec 11, 11:36 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.8%	15	Dec 11, 11:34 AM UTC
PredictiveMarkets	buy	Yes	1.3%	236.67	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	50	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.8%	40	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	34.73	Dec 11, 10:51 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.7%	186.7	Dec 11, 10:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	125	Dec 11, 10:04 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	50	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
Mocrotox	sell	Yes	0.2%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	154.11	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	100	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
flow-trader-at-optiver	buy	No	99.8%	823.2	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	154.11	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.7%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC