Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 17?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$31.4K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
daniel122134	sell	No	99.9%	8.9	Dec 11, 6:12 PM UTC
SaylorMoon	sell	Yes	0.1%	2.86K	Dec 11, 6:08 PM UTC
probability	sell	Yes	0.1%	422	Dec 11, 6:07 PM UTC
daniel122134	sell	No	98.8%	36.93	Dec 11, 6:06 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	3.31	Dec 11, 6:01 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	16.67	Dec 11, 5:59 PM UTC
Resonances	sell	Yes	0.3%	300	Dec 11, 5:57 PM UTC
daniel122134	buy	No	99.7%	47.57	Dec 11, 5:55 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.8%	40	Dec 11, 5:51 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 5:49 PM UTC
Grateful-Sushi	buy	Yes	0.4%	508	Dec 11, 2:01 PM UTC
Maddo	sell	No	99.8%	2	Dec 11, 1:06 PM UTC
Epse	sell	No	99.8%	2	Dec 11, 1:02 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	32.68	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 12:56 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	38.04	Dec 11, 12:55 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	179.01	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	31	Dec 11, 12:54 PM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	25	Dec 11, 12:51 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	5	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	60	Dec 11, 12:34 PM UTC
bipbipbop	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 12:31 PM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 12:29 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 12:27 PM UTC
Maddo	buy	No	99.9%	2	Dec 11, 12:11 PM UTC
eremei	buy	Yes	0.7%	145.34	Dec 11, 12:06 PM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.4%	40	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.4%	22.61	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
SoftG	buy	Yes	0.6%	137.39	Dec 11, 12:05 PM UTC
Epse	buy	No	99.9%	2	Dec 11, 11:54 AM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	15	Dec 11, 11:42 AM UTC
PredictiveMarkets	buy	Yes	1.5%	203.75	Dec 11, 11:13 AM UTC
MurphySolo	buy	Yes	1.4%	70.63	Dec 11, 11:01 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	125.01	Dec 11, 10:04 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
Mocrotox	sell	Yes	0.1%	100	Dec 11, 10:03 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	154.1	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 10:02 AM UTC
flow-trader-at-optiver	buy	No	99.8%	823.2	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	154.11	Dec 11, 10:00 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	125.99	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	25.7	Dec 11, 9:59 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.8%	55	Dec 11, 9:33 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.8%	55	Dec 11, 9:33 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	15	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.7%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.7%	10	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.7%	130	Dec 11, 9:32 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.0%	45	Dec 11, 9:30 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.0%	40	Dec 11, 9:28 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	0.3%	15	Dec 11, 9:27 AM UTC