What is the “Will None in 2025 occur?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will None in 2025 occur? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

45 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 12, 4:02 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-first-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will None in 2025 occur?

Market referencewill-none-in-2025-occurUpdated Jan 12, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$84.4K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 2, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 12, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

480.65 / 32.8K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

211

Loaded notional

$35.89K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

165

Move

+52 pts

Range

5.0% - 99.6%

Jul 22, 12:00 AM UTC to Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC	99.5%	99.5%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC	99.6%	99.6%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC	99.3%	99.3%

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will None in 2025 occur?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will None in 2025 occur? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

99.5%

Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC

99.6%

Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

99.3%