What is the “Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) vs. More Light: Who will win?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 29, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 16 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 25, 8:13 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/ben-armstrong-vs-more-light-who-will-win) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong? Final Odds

Market referencewill-more-light-beat-ben-armstrongUpdated Feb 25, 2024 UTC

Closed

Scheduled close Dec 29, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.5K

Scheduled close

Dec 29, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 22, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Feb 25, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

7.17K / 6.11K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

113

Wallets

Loaded notional

$13.83K

No buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+8.0 pts

Range

29.0% - 75.0%

Jan 31, 12:00 AM UTC to Feb 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	5.86K	0.0%	$0
555ewf23ff2	Yes	1.97K	82.5%	$1.97K	Feb 24, 1:31 AM UTC

Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) vs. More Light: Who will win?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will More Light beat Ben Armstrong? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) vs. More Light: Who will win?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 29, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: qqq
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 16 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.2% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Indigo Signal 2966

5.86K

0.0%

555ewf23ff2

Yes

1.97K

82.5%

$1.97K

Feb 24, 1:31 AM UTC

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$5.86K
whereami	$250
555ewf23ff2	$0
BITCOIN	$0
Jekyll	$0
Courageous-Hero	$0
0xcee	$0
meerkat	$0
joot	$0
Imaginative-Skill	$0
vmudream	$0
0x22	$0