What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 18 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under… Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

27 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 19, 2:04 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/michael-4th-weekend-box-office) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m…

Market referencewill-michael-4th-weekend-box-office-be-between-19m-and-22mUpdated May 19, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled May 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$22.4K

Resolved

Settled

May 18, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 19, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

96%

Yes / No shares

10.94K / 17.34K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

181

Wallets

Loaded notional

$6.03K

Yes buy at 0.1%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-49 pts

Range

0.1% - 49.5%

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC to May 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	17.34K	0.0%	$0
Lumbering-Convertible	Yes	5K	0.1%

"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 18 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under… Resolution source: https://www.the-numbers.com/.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Indigo Signal 2966

17.34K

0.0%

Lumbering-Convertible

Yes

0.1%

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$17.34K
Lumbering-Convertible	$0
Extraneous-Moonlight	$0
products	$0
Ooookey	$0
Violet Sphinx B1B8	$0
Bigggggggg	$0
e46m3	$0
plainfolder	$0
TimGoBeyond	$0
whataregoat	$0
rktbay	$0

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?

"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office

Questions about this market

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?

"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office

Questions about this market