- What is the “Will Messi win Ballon d'Or?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved Yes on 31 Oct 2023. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or for 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is France Football’s website: https://www.francefootball.fr/ballon-d-or/palmares/, however live footage of the ceremony and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the award isn't announced by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
- Who still holds shares in this market?
