What is the “Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “How long will ICEMAN be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 15 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

13 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 16, 6:29 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-iceman-be) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?

Market referencewill-iceman-be-less-than-30-minutes-longUpdated May 16, 2026 UTC

Resolved

No · settled May 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$14.9K

Resolved

Settled

May 15, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 12, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 16, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

769.14 / 8.1

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$10.75K

No buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-15 pts

Range

0.1% - 45.3%

Apr 24, 12:00 AM UTC to May 15, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
rette33	Yes	250.01	0.1%	$422.39
42ds	Yes	181.29	1.1%

How long will ICEMAN be?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “How long will ICEMAN be?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 15 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

rette33

Yes

250.01

0.1%

$422.39

42ds

Yes

181.29

1.1%

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$8.1
rette33	$0
42ds	$0
ra5tadark	$0
Impolite-Vitro	$0
S5M.	$0
Dropy	$0
Crafty-Picket	$0
Mojito9	$0
Grandiose-Layer	$0
wwder	$0
rocketcrypto	$0