What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved NVIDIA on 2 Mar 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Google" if Alphabet (Google) is larger than NVIDIA as ranked by market capitalization as of market close on March 1. This market will resolve to "NVIDIA" if NVIDIA is larger than Alphabet (Google) on March 1. If both have the exact same market cap, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the NASDAQ.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

3 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 26, 2:53 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-google-or-nvidia-be-worth-more-on-march-1) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved NVIDIA: Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?

Market referencewill-google-or-nvidia-be-worth-more-on-march-1Updated Apr 26, 2024 UTC

Resolved

NVIDIA · settled Mar 2, 2024 UTC

Google

0.0%

NVIDIA

100.0%

Final Google 0¢Final NVIDIA 100¢

Lifetime volume

$69.4K

Resolved

NVIDIA

Settled

Mar 2, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Apr 25, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Apr 26, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

NVIDIA

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

688.07 / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

171

Wallets

Loaded notional

$41.73K

NVIDIA sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-45 pts

Range

0.1% - 61.1%

Feb 15, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
moneybeast	Google	291	6.5%	$291	Feb 26, 8:26 PM UTC
forced_alignment	Google	217.97	68.8%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved NVIDIA on 2 Mar 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Google" if Alphabet (Google) is larger than NVIDIA as ranked by market capitalization as of market close on March 1. This market will resolve to "NVIDIA" if NVIDIA is larger than Alphabet (Google) on March 1. If both have the exact same market cap, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the NASDAQ.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who still holds shares in this market?

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

moneybeast

Google

291

6.5%

$291

Feb 26, 8:26 PM UTC

forced_alignment

Google

217.97

68.8%

Trader	Current holding value
moneybeast	$0
forced_alignment	$0
pichlong	$0