Analytics
“Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 11)”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved No on 11 Sep 2026. $4.32K traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 7 daily price points from Sep 5, 2026 UTC to Sep 11, 2026 UTC (Yes between 17.5% and 93.0%); 16 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 98.7% of the loaded shares; 104 recent public fills from 57 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 5 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 24.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 57.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.75K |
| skrol1f | Yes | 143.17 |
| quietparcel | Yes |
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled September 11. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled September 11 by September 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-song-in-the-us-this-week-september-11
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| 135.37 |
| Joleen1544 | Yes | 122.17 |
| chaosj88 | Yes | 51.89 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Sean2718 | Yes | 18.42 |
| Ross1212 | Yes | 10.44 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| classynkind2 | Yes | 10 |