What is the “Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 13 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

15 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 14, 4:32 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?

Market referencewill-donald-trump-visit-alaska-in-2026Updated May 14, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled May 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$56.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 13, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

1m ago

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 14, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

96%

Yes / No shares

20.2 / 2.54K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

431

Wallets

198

Loaded notional

$20.44K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

148

Move

+35 pts

Range

38.0% - 91.0%

Dec 2, 12:00 AM UTC to May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
May 13, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
May 12, 12:00 AM UTC	75.0%	75.0%
May 11, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 13 May 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

May 13, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

May 12, 12:00 AM UTC

75.0%

May 11, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%