Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 14, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$397.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 14, 2026 UTC

PricesPrice history from Polymarket's order book, daily closes, latest Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Date	Close	Mid
Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC	99.4%	99.4%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC	98.8%	98.8%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC	98.6%	98.6%
Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC	96.0%	96.0%
Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC	93.4%	93.4%
Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC	91.9%	91.9%
Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC	91.0%	91.0%
Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC	94.2%	94.2%
Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC	97.5%	97.5%
Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC	92.0%	92.0%
Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC	87.1%	87.1%
Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC	96.0%	96.0%
Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC	96.4%	96.4%
Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC	97.3%	97.3%
Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC	97.4%	97.4%
Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC	99.2%	99.2%
Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC	97.8%	97.8%
Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC	97.0%	97.0%
Dec 20, 12:00 AM UTC	96.3%	96.3%
Dec 19, 12:00 AM UTC	93.6%	93.6%
Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC	92.8%	92.8%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	92.8%	92.8%
Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC	92.8%	92.8%
Dec 16, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Dec 15, 12:00 AM UTC	86.6%	86.6%
Dec 14, 12:00 AM UTC	82.7%	82.7%
Dec 13, 12:00 AM UTC	95.9%	95.9%
Dec 12, 12:00 AM UTC	96.5%	96.5%
Dec 11, 12:00 AM UTC	98.2%	98.2%
Dec 10, 12:00 AM UTC	97.9%	97.9%
Dec 9, 12:00 AM UTC	94.2%	94.2%
Dec 8, 12:00 AM UTC	93.8%	93.8%
Dec 7, 12:00 AM UTC	92.5%	92.5%
Dec 6, 12:00 AM UTC	93.0%	93.0%
Dec 5, 12:00 AM UTC	92.6%	92.6%
Dec 4, 12:00 AM UTC	92.8%	92.8%
Dec 3, 12:00 AM UTC	92.5%	92.5%
Dec 2, 12:00 AM UTC	93.8%	93.8%
Dec 1, 12:00 AM UTC	93.3%	93.3%
Nov 30, 12:00 AM UTC	96.7%	96.7%
Nov 29, 12:00 AM UTC	96.2%	96.2%
Nov 28, 12:00 AM UTC	96.4%	96.4%
Nov 27, 12:00 AM UTC	95.7%	95.7%
Nov 26, 12:00 AM UTC	94.5%	94.5%
Nov 25, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Nov 24, 12:00 AM UTC	90.5%	90.5%
Nov 23, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Nov 22, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Nov 21, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 20, 12:00 AM UTC	86.5%	86.5%
Nov 19, 12:00 AM UTC	90.0%	90.0%
Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Nov 17, 12:00 AM UTC	76.5%	76.5%
Nov 16, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Nov 15, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 14, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 13, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 12, 12:00 AM UTC	89.0%	89.0%
Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%
Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC	89.5%	89.5%
Nov 9, 12:00 AM UTC	89.0%	89.0%
Nov 8, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 7, 12:00 AM UTC	88.5%	88.5%
Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC	87.5%	87.5%
Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC	88.0%	88.0%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC	85.0%	85.0%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC	84.5%	84.5%
Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Nov 1, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Oct 30, 12:00 AM UTC	78.0%	78.0%
Oct 29, 12:00 AM UTC	78.5%	78.5%
Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC	81.0%	81.0%
Oct 27, 12:00 AM UTC	79.0%	79.0%
Oct 26, 12:00 AM UTC	77.5%	77.5%
Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC	77.0%	77.0%
Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC	74.5%	74.5%
Oct 23, 12:00 AM UTC	79.0%	79.0%
Oct 22, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC	73.5%	73.5%
Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC	75.5%	75.5%
Oct 18, 12:00 AM UTC	76.0%	76.0%
Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC	67.5%	67.5%
Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC	66.0%	66.0%
Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC	74.0%	74.0%
Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC	73.5%	73.5%
Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC	73.0%	73.0%
Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC	72.0%	72.0%
Oct 8, 12:00 AM UTC	68.5%	68.5%
Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC	56.5%	56.5%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	54.5%	54.5%
Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%
Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC	60.5%	60.5%
Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC	63.5%	63.5%
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC	61.0%	61.0%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC	53.5%	53.5%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC	50.5%	50.5%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC	51.0%	51.0%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC	49.0%	49.0%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC	48.5%	48.5%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC	49.5%	49.5%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC	35.5%	35.5%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC	30.5%	30.5%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC	33.0%	33.0%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC	30.0%	30.0%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC	20.0%	20.0%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC	20.0%	20.0%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC	20.5%	20.5%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC	18.5%	18.5%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC	22.0%	22.0%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC	12.5%	12.5%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC	14.0%	14.0%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC	16.0%	16.0%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC	15.0%	15.0%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC	19.5%	19.5%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC	20.5%	20.5%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC	20.0%	20.0%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC	17.0%	17.0%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC	23.5%	23.5%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC	29.0%	29.0%
Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC	28.5%	28.5%
Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC	28.0%	28.0%
Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC	30.0%	30.0%
Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC	26.5%	26.5%
Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC	24.5%	24.5%
Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC	35.0%	35.0%
Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC	38.0%	38.0%
Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC	38.5%	38.5%
Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC	57.0%	57.0%

Analytics

Date

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Jan 14, 12:00 AM UTC

99.4%

Jan 13, 12:00 AM UTC

98.8%

Jan 12, 12:00 AM UTC

98.6%

Jan 11, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Jan 10, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Jan 9, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Jan 8, 12:00 AM UTC

96.0%

Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC

93.4%

Jan 6, 12:00 AM UTC

91.9%

Jan 5, 12:00 AM UTC

91.0%

Jan 4, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Jan 3, 12:00 AM UTC

94.2%

Jan 2, 12:00 AM UTC

97.5%

Jan 1, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Dec 31, 12:00 AM UTC

92.0%

Dec 30, 12:00 AM UTC

87.1%

Dec 29, 12:00 AM UTC

96.0%

Dec 28, 12:00 AM UTC

96.4%

Dec 27, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Dec 26, 12:00 AM UTC

97.3%

Dec 25, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Dec 24, 12:00 AM UTC

97.4%

Dec 23, 12:00 AM UTC

99.2%

Dec 22, 12:00 AM UTC

97.8%

Dec 21, 12:00 AM UTC

97.0%

Dec 20, 12:00 AM UTC

96.3%

Dec 19, 12:00 AM UTC

93.6%

Dec 18, 12:00 AM UTC

92.8%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

92.8%

Dec 17, 12:00 AM UTC

92.8%

Dec 16, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Dec 15, 12:00 AM UTC

86.6%

Dec 14, 12:00 AM UTC

82.7%

Dec 13, 12:00 AM UTC

95.9%

Dec 12, 12:00 AM UTC

96.5%

Dec 11, 12:00 AM UTC

98.2%

Dec 10, 12:00 AM UTC

97.9%

Dec 9, 12:00 AM UTC

94.2%

Dec 8, 12:00 AM UTC

93.8%

Dec 7, 12:00 AM UTC

92.5%

Dec 6, 12:00 AM UTC

93.0%

Dec 5, 12:00 AM UTC

92.6%

Dec 4, 12:00 AM UTC

92.8%

Dec 3, 12:00 AM UTC

92.5%

Dec 2, 12:00 AM UTC

93.8%

Dec 1, 12:00 AM UTC

93.3%

Nov 30, 12:00 AM UTC

96.7%

Nov 29, 12:00 AM UTC

96.2%

Nov 28, 12:00 AM UTC

96.4%

Nov 27, 12:00 AM UTC

95.7%

Nov 26, 12:00 AM UTC

94.5%

Nov 25, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Nov 24, 12:00 AM UTC

90.5%

Nov 23, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Nov 22, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Nov 21, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 20, 12:00 AM UTC

86.5%

Nov 19, 12:00 AM UTC

90.0%

Nov 18, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Nov 17, 12:00 AM UTC

76.5%

Nov 16, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Nov 15, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 14, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 13, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 12, 12:00 AM UTC

89.0%

Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%

Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC

89.5%

Nov 9, 12:00 AM UTC

89.0%

Nov 8, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 7, 12:00 AM UTC

88.5%

Nov 6, 12:00 AM UTC

87.5%

Nov 5, 12:00 AM UTC

88.0%

Nov 4, 12:00 AM UTC

85.0%

Nov 3, 12:00 AM UTC

84.5%

Nov 2, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Nov 1, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Oct 31, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Oct 30, 12:00 AM UTC

78.0%

Oct 29, 12:00 AM UTC

78.5%

Oct 28, 12:00 AM UTC

81.0%

Oct 27, 12:00 AM UTC

79.0%

Oct 26, 12:00 AM UTC

77.5%

Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC

77.0%

Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC

74.5%

Oct 23, 12:00 AM UTC

79.0%

Oct 22, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Oct 21, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Oct 20, 12:00 AM UTC

73.5%

Oct 19, 12:00 AM UTC

75.5%

Oct 18, 12:00 AM UTC

76.0%

Oct 17, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Oct 15, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Oct 14, 12:00 AM UTC

67.5%

Oct 13, 12:00 AM UTC

66.0%

Oct 12, 12:00 AM UTC

74.0%

Oct 11, 12:00 AM UTC

73.5%

Oct 10, 12:00 AM UTC

73.0%

Oct 9, 12:00 AM UTC

72.0%

Oct 8, 12:00 AM UTC

68.5%

Oct 7, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Oct 6, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Oct 5, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Oct 4, 12:00 AM UTC

56.5%

Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC

54.5%

Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

54.5%

Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%

Sep 30, 12:00 AM UTC

60.5%

Sep 29, 12:00 AM UTC

63.5%

Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC

61.0%

Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC

53.5%

Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC

50.5%

Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC

51.0%

Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC

49.0%

Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC

48.5%

Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC

49.5%

Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC

35.5%

Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC

30.5%

Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC

33.0%

Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC

30.0%

Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC

23.5%

Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC

20.0%

Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC

20.0%

Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC

20.5%

Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC

18.5%

Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC

22.0%

Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC

12.5%

Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC

14.0%

Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC

16.0%

Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC

15.0%

Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC

19.5%

Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC

20.5%

Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC

20.0%

Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC

17.0%

Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC

23.5%

Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Aug 30, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Aug 29, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Aug 27, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Aug 26, 12:00 AM UTC

29.0%

Aug 25, 12:00 AM UTC

28.5%

Aug 24, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Aug 23, 12:00 AM UTC

28.0%

Aug 22, 12:00 AM UTC

30.0%

Aug 21, 12:00 AM UTC

26.5%

Aug 20, 12:00 AM UTC

24.5%

Aug 19, 12:00 AM UTC

35.0%

Aug 18, 12:00 AM UTC

38.0%

Aug 17, 12:00 AM UTC

38.5%

Aug 16, 12:00 AM UTC

57.0%