- What is the “Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- How did this market resolve?
- It resolved Sinwar on 18 Oct 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to the name of the leader who leaves/is removed from power first. This market will resolve to "Netanyahu" if Benjamin Netanyahu is out as the Prime Minister of Israel before Yahya Sinwar is out as leader of Hamas. This market will resolve to "Sinwar" if Yahya Sinwar is out as the leader of Hamas before Benjamin Netanyahu is out as the Prime Minister of Israel. If both leaders remain in power uninterruptedly from December 26, 2023, through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
