What is the “Who will win women?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Who will win women? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Harris on 11 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of women than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of women than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of women in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

10 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 12, 6:19 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-women) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Harris: Who will win women?

Market referencewho-will-win-womenUpdated Nov 12, 2024 UTC

Resolved

Harris · settled Nov 11, 2024 UTCdeprec-us-electionpolitics

Harris

100.0%

Trump

0.0%

Final Harris 100¢Final Trump 0¢

Lifetime volume

$143.5K

Resolved

Harris

Settled

Nov 11, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 12, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 12, 2024 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Harris

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 2.76K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

441

Wallets

237

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC	99.9%	99.9%
Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC	99.7%	99.7%
Nov 9, 12:00 AM UTC	98.4%	98.4%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Who will win women?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Who will win women? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Harris on 11 Nov 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of women than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of women than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of women in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Nov 11, 12:00 AM UTC

99.9%

Nov 10, 12:00 AM UTC

99.7%

Nov 9, 12:00 AM UTC

98.4%