Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?

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Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election? | Market Analytics

Market referencewho-will-nate-silver-predict-to-win-the-electionUpdated Nov 6, 2024

politicsClosed

Scheduled close Nov 5, 2024politicsdeprec-us-election

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

$478.5K

Scheduled close

Nov 5, 2024

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Nov 6, 2024

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 6, 2024

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

15.04 / 2.6

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

164

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 5, 12:00 AM

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Nov 5, 12:00 AM	53.0%	53.0%
Nov 4, 12:00 AM	24.0%	24.0%
Nov 3, 12:00 AM	48.5%	48.5%